“Cars are the greatest invention for humans to travel while making it look cool.” — Anonymous.
In the past three years, the automotive industry has seen significant changes. This period, marked by the challenges of a global pandemic, has seen vehicle supply chains thrown into chaos, sparking a need for rapid adaptation. Manufacturers and dealerships had to adjust to these unmatched changes and evolving global demands quickly.
As 2023 draws to a close, it’s essential to cast our eyes forward to 2024. The industry faces a complex landscape: the meteoric rise in electric vehicle sales, the impact of inflation, and challenges like labor strikes and parts shortages.
It’s a critical time for the industry to remain alert and adaptable, ready to respond to the market dynamics and consumer needs. So, without further ado, let’s dig into a few of the latest auto industry trends.
The Electrifying Journey of EVs and Hybrids into 2024
As we approach 2024, the auto industry’s move toward electric vehicles is picking up speed but encountering challenges. In 2023, EVs saw a 55% sales boost in the first half compared to the previous year. It’s an exciting time, with almost 40% of Americans thinking about getting an EV as their next car.
Yet, this electric wave is not without its challenges. The higher upfront costs of EVs are a significant consideration for many. Additionally, the logistics of home charging and the current state of charging stations, while getting better, still make some drivers uneasy. Such factors are crucial detours on the road to widespread EV adoption.
With that, hybrids are quietly making a significant impact. They are becoming a preferred choice for both automakers and consumers, offering a bridge between traditional fuel engines and full electrification.
Contrary to some predictions, they’re still around for a while. In essence, the automotive scene of 2024 shows a diverse lineup: the persistence of IC vehicles, the rise of hybrids, and the growing allure of EVs.
Protecting Your Car with Ceramic Coatings
Each day, your car faces environmental challenges like salt, dirt, bird droppings, and acid rain that can harm its paint and appearance. Traditional car wax and polish provide some protection, but they don’t offer a strong defense.
Whether it is a family sedan or a luxury sports car, ceramic Paint Protection is tailored to every model. These coatings are a game-changer in automotive care. But why stop there? The ultimate shield for your vehicle comes from combining the resilience of ceramic car coatings with the traditional practice of waxing and polishing.
This combination not only makes your car look great but also protects it from rust and other harm.
By embracing this comprehensive approach, automobile owners gain enhanced protection, superior resistance, and longevity. It ensures their car retains its perfect condition and beauty for years to come.
The Digital Transformation of Vehicles
Vehicles are no longer just modes of transportation; they are evolving into fully connected devices. This paradigm shift is revolutionizing the entire vehicle experience. Manufacturers are now integrating comprehensive software suites that seamlessly connect with other smart devices.
It helps create personalized user experiences, enables convenient over-the-air updates, and drives the development of advanced infotainment systems. However, with this increased connectivity comes a risk of data breaches and cyberattacks. Vehicle cyber threats are a growing concern for consumer cybersecurity.
This necessitates dealers to provide robust training and comprehensive protection solutions to ensure the safety and privacy of their customers.
The desire for personalized experiences extends to the car-buying process as well. There has been a profound shift towards the use of digital tools in automotive retail. Surprisingly, 59% of vehicle buyers now prefer using digital tools provided by dealerships. These tools make buying a car easier by helping you with financing, vehicle selection, and access to educational resources for informed decisions.
The auto industry has been grappling with supply chain challenges, including issues like the United Auto Workers (UAW) strike and a shortage of semiconductor chips. These disruptions have created an unpredictable market.
These challenges have far-reaching effects, impacting both dealerships and consumers. They result in limited vehicle availability and higher prices. Between 2020 and 2021, new car prices increased by 17.2%. While prices are starting to stabilize as inventory levels recover, dealerships need to remain flexible and prepared for potential operational changes.
Wrapping Up
Predicting 2024 in the automotive industry is like reading tea leaves; uncertainty is the only constant. Rapid tech advancements, regulations, market shifts, interest rates, and global events keep us on our toes. History does show that change can happen overnight. Stay informed, be flexible, and embrace resilience as we navigate the ever-changing road ahead.
Come new year and I find myself reflecting on the rollercoaster ride that was 2023 for the automotive industry. Last year, we saw the auto sector grapple with challenges like declining EV sales, widespread strikes in the U.S. factories, supply chain disruptions, and rising material costs. However, amidst these turbulent times, there were glimmers of hope and resilience. We saw car and commercial vehicle sales combined top 90mn with an astonishing double digit growth rate. India surged ahead to become the fourth-largest auto market for light vehicles.
As 2024 begins, I am keen to share my team in Marketsandmarket’s insights and forecasts for an industry on the cusp of transformative changes, with significant advancements in connectivity, electrification, and sustainability. It’s a transformative time for the industry, and I’m excited to be part of this journey. While we wait for 2024 to unfold, let’s explore the key trends shaping this year’s global automotive market.
Electric Vehicles: A Slowdown, Not a Stall
Though experiencing a slowdown, EV sales are still projected to rise in 2024. In the U.S., EV sales in 2024 are expected to grow y-o-y by merely 16% compared to ~64% in 2023. In China, y-o-y growth in 2024 would be 11.1% compared to 36.5% in 2023. Factors like reduced incentives, limited charging infrastructure, and the saturation of early adopters are significant hurdles. To attract the mass market, industry leaders like Musk are lowering prices, which I think is a move in the right direction. However, this slowdown is prompting major players like GM, VW, and Ford to adjust their strategies, with some lowering prices and delaying new mode
![Graphics Forbes Jan 2024](https://i0.wp.com/imageio.forbes.com/specials-images/imageserve/659fc17e59b5ce0427997fa3/Graphics-Forbes-Jan-2024/960x0.jpg?w=640&ssl=1)
Global EV sales slowing down
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China’s Continued Dominance in the EV Market, globally not locally
Amidst the sleek lines of cutting-edge EVs, China stands tall as a market giant and a global influencer, contributing 60% to worldwide EV sales. Its controlled supply chain, relentless innovation, and growing global presence solidify its leadership. By 2025, China is expected to capture 12% of the European EV market, fueled by competitive pricing, cutting-edge battery technology, and the growing popularity of Chinese electric car brands in the U.K. and other European and Asian markets. In 2024, China will firmly establish itself as a powerhouse in the EV revolution both in the home market and globally.
Surging Online Sales of Vehicles
Global online car sales where the full car buying experience is on-line is set to surge, reaching 7.1-7.3 million units by 2024. Many EV manufacturers are venturing into online sales, which are available in all major markets. North America leads the charge with a share of more than one-third of the global market, with APAC catching up rapidly, driven by tech-savvy younger generations. This trend encompasses used and new cars, with online platforms offering convenience and transparency. The automotive landscape is headed towards a future where fully online sales contribute significantly to total new car sales.
Redefined Luxury: A New Class of Car Emerges
Luxury automotive trends are undergoing a paradigm shift, with traditional players redefining the ‘ultra-luxury segment’ and non-luxury OEMs strategically positioning top-end models as luxury vehicles. In the last couple of years, we saw a significant shift with SUVs becoming the ultimate uber luxury car of choice for the mega-rich, influencing brands like Aston Martin and Lamborghini. EVs are increasingly part of the luxury segment, expected to account for 15-17% of sales by 2024. With its growing affluent population, China is driving this luxury market transformation.
Plugging In for the Future: The EV Charging Revolution
Expect a significant increase in charging stations in 2024, reaching around 2 million globally. Governments and OEMs are investing heavily in infrastructure, with DC fast-charging and ultra-fast charging leading the way. China is a significant player, with its fast-charging technologies expected to triple by 2024. E-Forecourts and depot charging solutions will also see significant growth. The number of chargers for new electric commercial vehicles is expected to touch 347K units in 2024 and growing to 1.14mn by 2030, with a majority of the increase contributed by DC chargers. Fast and ultra-fast chargers in depot settings for electric commercial vehicles are expected to grow at a CAGR of ~35% between 2023 and 2030.
The Used Car Market Takes Center Stage
The global used car market is experiencing significant growth, especially in APAC. In 2023, it saw a 3-4% increase, with sales of 94-96 million vehicles, and is projected to grow by 5-6% in 2024. The B2C segment is becoming more dominant, and it is expected to exceed 50% market share in APAC and North America, indicating a shift towards a more organized market. Despite mixed results in recent IPOs from companies like Vroom, Auto1, Cazoo, CarTrade, and Carvana, the market is set for transformation. The rise of online used car sellers and aggregators, such as Droom in India, is disrupting the industry, pointing to a future shaped by innovation, customer trust, and convenience.
5G Takes the Wheel: The Connected Car & Living Revolution
This isn’t just a faster internet; I would call it a revolution on wheels. The 5G technology is set to transform the automotive industry, with major players like Audi, Mercedes-Benz, GM, Ford, Skoda, and Geely adopting it in their smart factories to improve automation, safety, and efficiency. This will only enhance in-car experiences with faster data transmission, low-latency communication, and improved navigation and infotainment systems. The automotive sector is expected to see a 30-35% annual growth rate in 5G adoption over the next few years. 5G will also facilitate what we term as “car as a connected living solution”, whereby the car in future will become an element of our connected home, connected workplace, connected energy, connected city and more, providing an integrated and seamless experience which will allow OEMs to generate addional revenues during the vehicle life-cycle.
Generative AI: Shaping the Future of Cars
Generative AI is transforming the automotive sector, impacting vehicle design, navigation, predictive maintenance, voice assistants, manufacturing, supply chain, and quality control. It will enhance the safety, efficiency, and personalization of in-car interactions. Major automotive companies are increasingly adopting this technology—Toyota and BMW for vehicle design, Tesla in Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems (ADAS), Continental in digital cockpits, and Mercedes Benz in Personal Voice Assistants. This marks a shift towards more intelligent and responsive automotive technologies.
Gearing Up for the Future: Other Trends to Watch in 2024
Smart manufacturing, gigacasting, digital twins, and the impending impact of Euro-7 norms are poised to shape the industry in 2024, bringing about efficiencies and redefining operational strategies.
Conclusion
I anticipate a year filled with breakthroughs and transformative experiences, even as the industry, despite a slowdown in growth rates for 2024, is on track to hit a landmark 100 million units in sales, including both passenger and commercial vehicles, by 2026. Let’s see what the year has in store for us!